Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000685 0.000777 0.000874 0.000984 0.001105 0.001233 0.001380
2025-11-30 0.000538 0.000664 0.000807 0.000979 0.001179 0.001404 0.001674
2025-12-07 0.000458 0.000600 0.000767 0.000977 0.001230 0.001524 0.001889
2025-12-14 0.000393 0.000542 0.000726 0.000964 0.001262 0.001618 0.002071
2025-12-21 0.000339 0.000492 0.000687 0.000948 0.001283 0.001693 0.002229
2025-12-28 0.000312 0.000472 0.000682 0.000971 0.001352 0.001828 0.002460
2026-01-04 0.000285 0.000450 0.000671 0.000985 0.001406 0.001943 0.002670
2026-01-11 0.000255 0.000419 0.000647 0.000977 0.001430 0.002020 0.002829
2026-01-18 0.000229 0.000391 0.000624 0.000968 0.001451 0.002090 0.002981
2026-01-25 0.000211 0.000374 0.000614 0.000977 0.001495 0.002191 0.003174
2026-02-01 0.000193 0.000355 0.000600 0.000977 0.001527 0.002276 0.003347
2026-02-08 0.000170 0.000326 0.000567 0.000949 0.001516 0.002300 0.003438
2026-02-15 0.000150 0.000300 0.000540 0.000927 0.001513 0.002336 0.003547
2026-02-22 0.000136 0.000283 0.000524 0.000922 0.001535 0.002407 0.003705
2026-03-01 0.000124 0.000269 0.000511 0.000920 0.001559 0.002482 0.003870
2026-03-08 0.000112 0.000252 0.000493 0.000908 0.001568 0.002534 0.004003
2026-03-15 0.000100 0.000235 0.000473 0.000892 0.001570 0.002574 0.004119
2026-03-22 0.000096 0.000231 0.000477 0.000915 0.001632 0.002705 0.004368
2026-03-29 0.000090 0.000225 0.000475 0.000928 0.001678 0.002813 0.004587
2026-04-05 0.000082 0.000213 0.000461 0.000920 0.001692 0.002872 0.004733
2026-04-12 0.000075 0.000201 0.000448 0.000912 0.001703 0.002926 0.004874
2026-04-19 0.000070 0.000195 0.000444 0.000920 0.001741 0.003023 0.005080
2026-04-26 0.000065 0.000187 0.000436 0.000921 0.001767 0.003101 0.005259